MAYDAY IN ORBIT
by

Duncan Lunan 

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Imagine the problem: you're on the International Space Station Alpha, at the climax of years of training, embarked on six months of intensive research which may be the foundation of your whole future career. Suddenly, instead, you're faced with a medical emergency. You, or one of your colleagues , becomes seriously ill, or is injured so badly that it needs treatment on Earth. Worse still, something really serious might happen: an on board accident, or a collision with space debris, so bad that everyone must return to Earth.

But how do you manage it? In normal operation the Space Station will be visited by a Space Shuttle at 6-month intervals, on average. With only four Orbiters, one of which is normally out of use for modifications at any given time, there probably won't be one available in an emergency. They'll be at various stages of processing for the next missions planned for them: probably the engines are being swapped between one Orbiter and another - it happens all the time. It could be weeks before there's one ready to launch, however great the emergency and the dedication of the launch teams.

So a lifeboat system is required, kept docked to the Space Station, capable either of taking off the entire crew, or of returning an injured or sick crew person at need. Options such as a revived version of the Apollo spacecraft have been considered, but the current solution is to keep two Russian Soyuz spacecraft docked to the Station, each capable of taking three people off.

But the Soyuz is designed to be storable in space for only six months at a time. Seals, batteries etc. have a set operational life, but the real problem is the oxidiser in the liquid fuel propulsion system, which becomes unsafe to use after six months. When one is docked to the Russian Mir station for a long-stay mission, the normal routine is for a short-stay crew to come up in a new Soyuz, towards the end of the 6-month period, stay for a few days and then take the previous Soyuz back.

The first crew to man the Space Station, in 1998, have been named as the American William Shepherd and Russian Sergei Krikalev. But with Shuttle visits at 6-month intervals, more often during construction, Station crew will normally travel on it. So the limited space-storability of the Soyuz requires at least two replacements per year to be launched from Russia, whether the ones in space have been used or not, and the USA would probably have to pay for them - a problem not anticipated when the international agreements were drawn up.

In addition, there are limitations on the sizes of people which Soyuz can carry. NASA has been treating these rules too casually and in November 1995 it sent two astronauts to Russia to train for Mir visits, only to have them sent back because one was too tall and the other too short. It's now realised that 46% of the US astronaut corps will not fit into Soyuz, and therefore can't use the Station if Soyuz is to be the lifeboat. The Russians have agreed to look into redesigning the Soyuz couches, and to investigate the oxidiser problem, but whether either can be solved remains to be seen.

NASA therefore have assigned $500,000 to a prototype lifeboat, designated the XCRV - Experimental Crew Return Vehicle. One of the 1970's 'lifting body' research vehicles was refurbished for flight tests. Lifting bodies are difficult to land - one of the early ones, the M2-F2 vehicle, is seen crashing in the opening titles of The Six Million Dollar Man - so the XCRV was intended to land by parachute. The fins were removed for an experimental release from the cargo bay of a C-130 transport aircraft, but the parachutes became tangled and the vehicle crashed. At first it seemed that no funds were available for a replacement and the future of the project was unclear, but NASA's Johnson Spacecraft Centre assigned $8 million to build a replacement vehicle. A Russian spokesman commented that after so many years the USA might not be able to build a man-rated spacecraft, after so many experts from earlier programmes had retired or died; but by June 1996 two new prototypes designated 'X-38' had been produced, for only $3 million. The second of these was shipped to Johnson Space Centre, Houston, in November 1996. The parachute recovery system was tested in December, with captive-carry tests under a B-52 bomber scheduled for February 1997, with drop tests to begin in April.

The European Space Agency is considering the possibilities of a manned Crew Return Vehicle/Crew Transportation Vehicle to take personnel to and from the Station, starting in 2002. 'Phase A' studies of feasibility and cost were authorised in July 1995, and joint studies with NASA on rescue vehicles began in May 1996. The CRV would be launched by Europe's new Ariane V booster, and an engineering test payload is scheduled to fly on Ariane V's second launch. The CRV would carry at least four people, and be capable of staying docked to the station for several months. But this would be a big, complex and expensive vehicle: storing it in space for months at a time on the off chance of an accident seems wasteful.

The Japanese space agency NASDA is developing a winged vehicle called Hope, to be launched by their own H-2 booster for unmanned cargo deliveries to the Space Station, and for obvious reasons they want to have it considered as a Station lifeboat. A HY-FLEX test vehicle was launched in February 1996 and sank after splash-down, but the mission was otherwise a success. At the Woomera rocket range in Australia, a test model has since been dropped from a helicopter as a rehearsal for a rocket launch and land recovery. But the fishing lobby in Japan restricts NASDA to a launch season of only two months per year, which might not tie in with the Station schedules. NASDA is negotiating with the fisherman's unions for a more extended window, because the present limit harms the commercial prospects of the H-2, but the opposition is powerful.

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Date Last Modified: 31 07 1999